俄罗斯央行解释卢布贬值原因-pg电子麻将胡了
russian central bank explains ruble’s slide译文简介
俄罗斯央行解释卢布贬值原因
正文翻译
changes in the balance of trade have weakened the currency, the regulator says
据监管机构称，贸易收支的变化导致货币走弱
原创翻译：龙腾网 http://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处
the latest weakening of the ruble poses no threat to the country’s financial stability, a top official at the russian central bank said on tuesday.
the ruble decline is due to changes in the balance of trade, first deputy chairman ksenia yudaeva said, as cited by ria novosti news agency. the balance of trade is the difference between the monetary value of a country's imports and exports.
the ruble slid beyond 90 against the us dollar during trade on tuesday, a level last seen in march 2022.
the russian currency traded at 90.04 to the dollar at 14:33 moscow time before gaining slightly, according to data from the moscow stock exchange. the euro traded at over 98 rubles, also the weakest level since march 2022.
俄罗斯中央银行的一位高级官员周二表示，卢布的最新贬值对该国的金融稳定不构成威胁。 据ria新闻社援引俄罗斯中央银行一副主席克谢尼娅·尤达耶娃的话称，卢布贬值是由贸易收支变化所致。贸易收支是一个国家进口和出口的货币价值之间的差异。 卢布在周二的交易中兑美元跌至90以上，这是自2022年3月以来的水平。 根据莫斯科证券交易所的数据，莫斯科时间14:33，卢布兑美元汇率为90.04，稍后略有回升。欧元兑卢布汇率超过98，也是自2022年3月以来的最低水平。
原创翻译：龙腾网 http://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处
the ruble decline is due to changes in the balance of trade, first deputy chairman ksenia yudaeva said, as cited by ria novosti news agency. the balance of trade is the difference between the monetary value of a country's imports and exports.
the ruble slid beyond 90 against the us dollar during trade on tuesday, a level last seen in march 2022.
the russian currency traded at 90.04 to the dollar at 14:33 moscow time before gaining slightly, according to data from the moscow stock exchange. the euro traded at over 98 rubles, also the weakest level since march 2022.
俄罗斯中央银行的一位高级官员周二表示，卢布的最新贬值对该国的金融稳定不构成威胁。 据ria新闻社援引俄罗斯中央银行一副主席克谢尼娅·尤达耶娃的话称，卢布贬值是由贸易收支变化所致。贸易收支是一个国家进口和出口的货币价值之间的差异。 卢布在周二的交易中兑美元跌至90以上，这是自2022年3月以来的水平。 根据莫斯科证券交易所的数据，莫斯科时间14:33，卢布兑美元汇率为90.04，稍后略有回升。欧元兑卢布汇率超过98，也是自2022年3月以来的最低水平。
原创翻译：龙腾网 http://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处
yudaeva noted that the regulator saw no reason to reintroduce the mandatory sale of a share of forex earnings by exporters, a measure that was temporarily introduced last year in response to western sanctions over the ukraine conflict.
central bank deputy chairman aleksey zabotkin said last week that ruble has been impacted by the declining prices of russian exports.
the currency has sharply lost ground since the short-lived rebellion by the wagner private military company. the group, led by evgeny prigozhin, launched an insurrection against russia’s military leadership on june 23-24. armed units seized a military headquarters in rostov-on-don, and some forces marched on moscow. after failing to gain the support of the regular russian army, wagner aborted its advance on the capital and reached an agreement with the authorities.
the ruble has also been under pressure in recent weeks due to lower oil prices and western sanctions, which limit foreign investment and restrict the currency supply from exporters.
尤达耶娃指出，监管机构认为没有理由重新引入出口商强制出售外汇收入的规定，该措施是去年针对乌克兰冲突引发的西方制裁而临时引入的。 俄罗斯中央银行副主席阿列克谢·扎博特金上周表示，卢布受到俄罗斯出口商品价格下跌的影响。 自瓦格纳私人军事公司的短暂叛乱以来，俄罗斯货币急剧贬值。该组织由叶甫根尼·普里高津领导，在6月23日至24日期间对俄罗斯军方发动了一场叛乱。武装部队占领了罗斯托夫市的一个军事总部，一些部队还向莫斯科进军。在未能获得俄罗斯常规军队的支持后，瓦格纳中止了对首都的进攻，并与当局达成了协议。 近几周来，卢布面临着油价下跌和西方制裁的压力，这些制裁限制了外国投资，限制了出口商的货币供应。
central bank deputy chairman aleksey zabotkin said last week that ruble has been impacted by the declining prices of russian exports.
the currency has sharply lost ground since the short-lived rebellion by the wagner private military company. the group, led by evgeny prigozhin, launched an insurrection against russia’s military leadership on june 23-24. armed units seized a military headquarters in rostov-on-don, and some forces marched on moscow. after failing to gain the support of the regular russian army, wagner aborted its advance on the capital and reached an agreement with the authorities.
the ruble has also been under pressure in recent weeks due to lower oil prices and western sanctions, which limit foreign investment and restrict the currency supply from exporters.
尤达耶娃指出，监管机构认为没有理由重新引入出口商强制出售外汇收入的规定，该措施是去年针对乌克兰冲突引发的西方制裁而临时引入的。 俄罗斯中央银行副主席阿列克谢·扎博特金上周表示，卢布受到俄罗斯出口商品价格下跌的影响。 自瓦格纳私人军事公司的短暂叛乱以来，俄罗斯货币急剧贬值。该组织由叶甫根尼·普里高津领导，在6月23日至24日期间对俄罗斯军方发动了一场叛乱。武装部队占领了罗斯托夫市的一个军事总部，一些部队还向莫斯科进军。在未能获得俄罗斯常规军队的支持后，瓦格纳中止了对首都的进攻，并与当局达成了协议。 近几周来，卢布面临着油价下跌和西方制裁的压力，这些制裁限制了外国投资，限制了出口商的货币供应。
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well since the percent in dollars or euros are declining the reference rate becomes less and less relevant over time. still reimposing the force sale of dollars, euros and other hostile currencies from the g7 is still beneficial to russians long term, not to the big energy exporter oligarchs though.
由于以美元或欧元计价的百分比正在下降，参考汇率的重要性随着时间的推移越来越不重要。尽管重新强制出售美元、欧元和其他敌对货币对俄罗斯人长期来说仍然有利，但对能源出口寡头来说并非如此。
russians are well-fed, russians have lots of work, russian cultural industries are flourishing, russian outproduces the entire western mic. methinks these mathematical games with gdp are detached from reality.
俄罗斯人有充足的食物，有很多工作，俄罗斯的文化产业正在蓬勃发展，俄罗斯的产出超过了整个西方军工产业。我认为这些与gdp相关的数学游戏与现实脱节。
alec kinnear, yeap but then again their currency is rigged down by the financial terrorists. now these are not free markets but totally rigged markets. now what is compounding the problem is that the speculators should be indeed taken care of specially those russian speculating in a destructive speculation like this.
alec kinnear，没错，但再说一次，他们的货币被金融恐怖分子操纵下跌。现在这些市场不再是自由市场，而是完全被操纵的市场。问题的复杂化在于应该着手解决投机者的问题，尤其是那些进行破坏性投机的俄罗斯投机者
well the depreciation has made russian products more affordable. just hope for stability at this level.
希望这个汇率的贬值使俄罗斯产品更具购买力。只希望能保持这个水平的稳定。
there is nothing to explain. the "weak" ruble is deliberately designed to be so by president putin for very clever reasons. equally clear is that this "weak" ruble was fully planned for and anticipated in the smo which has gone entirely according to plan. president putin knew exactly how the west would react, the sanctions were fully expected, which is why the russian economy is the world's strongest economy and the best performing over each of the last 5 years.
没有什么需要解释的。俄罗斯总统普京有着非常聪明的原因，故意将卢布设定为"疲软"状态。同样清楚的是，这个"疲软"的卢布在国家货币操作机制（smo）中完全是计划之内的，按照计划进行。普京总统准确地知道西方国家会如何反应，制裁措施完全是预料之中的，这也是为什么俄罗斯经济是全球最强劲和在过去5年中表现最好的经济体。
russia_will_win, russian economy was in recession last year( minus 2,7%)..us grew 2%. russian economy is the size of canadas..smaller than california's. interest rates for 10 year bons..11% in russia...3,85% in us. russia's economy is shrinking....
russia_will_win，俄罗斯经济去年处于衰退状态（负增长2.7%）..美国经济增长了2%。俄罗斯经济规模相当于加拿大，比加利福尼亚州还小。俄罗斯10年期债券的利率是11%，而美国是3.85%。俄罗斯经济正在萎缩...
"the ruble has also been under pressure in recent weeks due to lower oil prices and western sanctions". oil prices have picked up in the last 5 days. let's see whether that affects the ruble.
“由于油价下跌和西方制裁，卢布在最近几周也承受了压力。”油价在过去5天有所回升。我们来看看这是否会影响卢布。
d_banner, it probably wont as most of our oil is sold to india and china at fixed prices - we are selling it very cheaply in order to lock them in as customers. the smo has had many brilliant achievements but foremost amongst them is that it allowed president putin to finally rid russia of our unwanted european energy customers and replace them with preferred asian ones.
d_banner，可能不会影响，因为我们的大部分石油都以固定价格销往印度和中国，我们以很低的价格销售，以便将它们锁定为客户。俄罗斯的国家货币操作机制（smo）取得了许多辉煌成就，其中最重要的是它使普京总统最终摆脱了我们不需要的欧洲能源客户，并将其替换为优选的亚洲客户。 makedonija
俄罗斯有产品可以出售，所以外汇贬值（货币贬值是自愿的）。由于放弃美元导致国内货币供应增加在某种程度上是有道理的，但只会产生暂时性影响。货币贬值限制了进口，扩大了出口。俄罗斯国内生产85%的产品。
maybe has to do with all the cheap oil, gas, metals and fertiliser russian oligarch elites flooding into world markets to help out their nazi friends in the west and not reconverting to ru. amazing the russian political class is allowing this to happen.
也许与大量廉价的石油、天然气、金属和肥料涌入世界市场有关，以帮助他们在西方的纳粹朋友，而不进行卢布再转换。令人惊讶的是，俄罗斯的政治阶层竟然允许这种情况发生。
the imf is destabilizing the ruble by any means possible.
国际货币基金组织正在采取一切可能的手段破坏卢布。
wishy washy explanation. try capital flight and money laundering from the usual criminal oligarchs which are indeed a plague to the universe.... is all the money going to israel ?
你的解释含糊其辞。试试看资本外逃和来自那些通常的犯罪寡头的洗钱，它们确实是对整个宇宙的祸害......所有的钱都流向以色列了吗？
weak ruble means more of the local currency for a barrel of oil!. ..and more local money for the local industries!.
卢布贬值意味着一桶油需要更多本地货币！... 更多本地货币用于支持本地产业！
all this math is based on the us dollar so if you are using us dollars less it might not look good on paper but in the real world are russians hungry ? no, are russians warm at night ? yes, is there in increase in domestic or local business in russia ? yes. as more shift away from the us dollar we will expect this sort of instability but it is only on paper. i give it 5 years and we are going to see some very interesting things globally.
所有这些数学都是基于美元，所以如果你使用美元较少，虽然在纸面上可能看起来不好，但在现实世界中，俄罗斯人是否饥饿？不，俄罗斯人是否在晚上保暖？是的，俄罗斯的国内或本地业务是否增长？是的。随着更多人远离美元，我们将会看到这种不稳定，但这只是纸上的事情。我给它五年时间，我们将在全球看到一些非常有趣的事情。
wealth degeneration in every country. doesn't matter who you support, everyone has decreased the wealth of middle class. real wealth per capita has decreased significantly especially when the currency dues. it's incredible
每个国家的财富都在减少。无论你支持谁，每个人的中产阶级财富都在减少。特别是当货币贬值时，人均真实财富显著减少，这太不可思议了。
the forex is arbitrary, therein it can be manipulated. make what you need in russia and what you can set the value of your currency for external exchanges or swaps. know your intrinsic value. this is not rocket science. the days of farcical universal trust are over. wake up globe.
外汇市场是任意的，因此它可以被操纵。在俄罗斯生产你所需的产品，并决定你的货币在外部交易或交换中的价值。了解自己的内在价值。这并不是火箭科学。荒谬的普遍信任的日子已经结束了。醒醒吧，全球。
well, you want to decouple from the us$, so what even worry what your currency does against the dollar? what needs to happen is that brics needs to trade in their own currencies - not valued against the dollar and ignore the currency fluctuations between the yuan - $, the zar - $, rupee and ruble - $
好吧，你想与美元脱钩，那么你的货币对美元做什么都无关紧要吗？需要发生的是金砖国家应该用他们自己的货币进行贸易，而不是以美元为基准，并忽略人民币-美元、南非兰特-美元、卢比和卢布-美元之间的货币波动。
launch the brics, gold-backed currency this year to widen the spawn of the russian economy and establish a more controlled stability to the mighty rouble.
今年推出金砖国家支持的货币，扩大俄罗斯经济的范围，并为强大的卢布建立更加可控的稳定
if agriculture makes up 25% of russia’s total economic output it will employ a lot of people and strengthen the ruble. people need food and population is growing.
如果农业占俄罗斯总经济产出的25%，它将雇佣很多人，加强卢布。人们需要食物，而人口正在增长。
risks need to increase domestic production, especially in technical areas. this is one way of doing it
风险需要增加国内生产，特别是在技术领域。这是一种做法。
all fiat is whether dollars, rubles, yuan whatever name you want to put on them they are all just toilet paper!
所有的法币都是，无论是美元、卢布、人民币，不管你给它们起什么名字，它们都只是厕纸！
the mutiny did not harm russia military strength as was hoped for by the actors which a good deal, but surely a price must be paid for some time until economic stability ensues.
这次叛乱没有像希望的那样对俄罗斯的军事实力造成损害，这对参与的人来说是一笔好交易，但肯定要付出一段时间的代价，直到经济稳定下来。
translation: imports are more expensive.
翻译：进口商品变得更加昂贵。
the restoration of capitalism in russia is one of the greatest tragedies in history.
俄罗斯资本主义的恢复是历史上最大的悲剧之一。
this intentional to balance nugget by sulianov and central bank !! kind of cheating !
这是为了平衡苏利亚诺夫和中央银行的黄金块而有意为之！有点欺骗的行为！
biden: if anything my son dying in france working for the coast guard has taught you is that we have to support our troops in iraq defending democracy against the russians.........no i wont comment on cocaine in the white house next question.........
拜登：如果有什么事能让你借此明白我们必须支持我们在伊拉克为了对抗俄罗斯而捍卫民主的军队，那就是我的儿子在法国为海岸警卫队工作时去世……不，我不会对白宫的可卡因问题发表评论，下一个问题……
makes their exports more competitive, and further discourages imports. it's what you want, all other things aside.
这样可以使他们的出口更具竞争力，进一步减少进口。除此之外，这是你所希望的。
for now the usd still works to purchase stuff, despite that it's a doomed currency, a fiat currency, a fake currency, a printed currency backed by nothing. at least the ruble is real. at least the russian debt ratio is not out of balance. russia need only stay the course and time will be on our side. . . while usa, like the titanic, sinks into the great fathoms of unrecoverable debt.
尽管美元是一个注定要失败的货币，一个法定货币，一个虚假货币，一个没有任何支撑的印制货币，它仍然可以用来购买商品。至少卢布是真实的。至少俄罗斯的债务比例没有失衡。俄罗斯只需要坚持现有政策，时间将会站在我们这边……而美国则像泰坦尼克号一样，沉入无法挽回的巨大债务的深渊。
measured by what? we could say that its worth about half a "penny"? but the rothschild dollar is nothing but debt. thats actually a negative amount. you may say that my ruble is only worth a cup of water, but your usury dollar is a cup of arsenic.
按照什么标准衡量？我们可以说它值半个“便士”吗？但罗斯柴尔德的美元只是债务。事实上，这是一个负额。你可能会说我的卢布只值一杯水，但你的高利贷美元却是一杯砒霜。
russia should increase exports to all friendly countries. ruble will bounce back...
俄罗斯应该增加对所有友好国家的出口。卢布将会反弹……
if i had a fistful of dollars right now - id be trading them for rubles - while the ruble is undervalued right now
如果我现在手里有一把美元，我会用它们来换取卢布，因为目前卢布被低估了。
send the bill for any loses to us neoliberalcon empire ministry of financial terrorism!
将任何损失的账单寄给美国新自由经济共和国财政恐怖主义部！
russia and china relations are that good that if the ruble would ran into problems due to sanctions, china would immediately support the ruble. russia's economic strength is china's economic strength. both countries need each other to fight the evil serpent, and to win the battle.
俄罗斯和中国的关系非常好，以至于如果由于制裁而导致卢布出现问题，中国会立即支持卢布。俄罗斯的经济实力就是中国的经济实力。两国需要彼此共同对抗邪恶之蛇，并赢得这场战斗。
let's scroll down and see all the sage advice from the armchair field marshals.
让我们往下滚动，看看那些坐在家里的 "元帅们" 给出的明智建议。
this happens to any currency. no big deal. russian economy remains intact.
这种情况发生在任何货币上。没什么大不了的。俄罗斯经济依然完好无损。
usa dollar is backed by unicorn phart dust while the rubles backed by gold which has been sound money for thousands of years
美元是由独角兽屁股上的尘埃支持，而卢布是由黄金支持的，黄金在数千年来一直是可靠的货币。
russia and her people will prevail. hoorah russia!!!
俄罗斯及其人民将取得胜利。俄罗斯万岁！！！
原创翻译：龙腾网 http://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处
that doesnot really matter as russia trades use minimal of the "overvalued" useless usa dollars
这并不重要，因为俄罗斯的贸易使用的是被"过高估值"的毫无用处的美元最少。
there is nothing to see here. what is clear is that this slide in the ruble's value was completely predicted and foreseen at the start of the smo. president putin knew this would happen and welcomed it because it helps russian importers. this is good news and further sign that russia is winning!!!!
这里没有什么可看的。显而易见的是，卢布贬值的滑坡在 smo 开始时就完全被预测和预见到了。普京总统知道这会发生，并对此表示欢迎，因为这有助于俄罗斯的进口商。这是一个好消息，进一步表明俄罗斯正在获胜！！
russia_will_win, a lower currency helps exporters. but, exactly, no reason to try hard to keep it high. also, the timing with the wagner events could point to a western manipulation. if that's the case, the decline will be short-lived.
russia_will_win，货币贬值有助于出口商。但确实没有理由努力保持汇率高。此外，与瓦格纳事件的时间相配合，可能暗示着西方的操纵。如果是这样的话，下滑将是短暂的。
as there is less and less use of the dollar and more use of the yuan and ruble, the usa will inflate the alleged value of the dollar so to punish those who use the yuan and the ruble. it matters not how many rubles to the dollar. because if what you buy in ruble is the quality and value vs buying something in dollars that you pay more for the same quality and value, then which is really worth more, the item bought in dollars or that same item bought in rubles. those who do not trade in dollars so not have to pay the inflationary of artificial valuation and thus those they trade with have each other's currencies equal to each other and thus get a right value and not an artificial one.
随着美元的使用越来越少，人民币和卢布的使用越来越多，美国将提高所谓美元的价值，以惩罚那些使用人民币和卢布的人。无论卢布对美元的汇率是多少，都无所谓。因为如果你用卢布购买的物品的质量和价值与用美元购买的相同质量和价值的物品相比，后者需要支付更高的价格，那么哪个真正更有价值？不进行美元交易的人不必支付通胀性的人工估值，因此他们相互交易的货币彼此之间平等，并获得真正的价值，而不是人为的价值。
azriel, try to import car from china and say to them that if the car is worth 50.000 usd you will pay 50.000 russian rubles because ruble in reality is worth more then dollar.... you people make. ke laugh
azriel，试着从中国进口一辆汽车，并告诉他们如果这辆车价值50,000美元，你将支付50,000俄罗斯卢布，因为卢布实际上比美元更值钱... 你们这些人真是让我笑翻了。
bullshit explanation. now a few years ago trade balance was even weaker and the ruble was trading for 30 rubles to the dollar. now today the economy is way stronger. the foreign debt owned by russia is melting like snow in the summer sun and there is record employment... now then the central bank of russia e''con''onmists should know that currency markets are totally rigged by zionist neocon banksters from london and new-york like the price of silver, gold, oil, gas and other commodities..... the explanation does not stick at all... in reality the ruble if you apply the criteria related to almost nor debt to gdp ratio, record employment, record debt payments to foreingners, record trade surplus etc... should be at 30 or even 20 rubles to the dollar and certainly not 90....
胡扯的解释。几年前，贸易平衡甚至更差，卢布对美元的汇率是30卢布兑1美元。如今经济更加强劲。俄罗斯的外债像夏日阳光下的雪一样融化，就业率创纪录... 现在俄罗斯中央银行的经济学家们应该知道，货币市场完全受到伦敦和纽约的锡安主义新保守派银行家的操纵，就像银价、金价、石油、天然气和其他大宗商品的价格一样... 这个解释根本站不住脚... 实际上，如果应用几乎没有债务占gdp比例的标准、创纪录的就业率、创纪录的对外债务偿还、创纪录的贸易顺差等等，卢布应该是30甚至20卢布兑1美元，而绝对不是90卢布兑1美元...
rabelais, unfortunately the markets and currency trading is still dominated by the west and demand always trumps common sense. russia isn't worried and other countries like china have had dued currency vs usd for years. it all will work out just fine.
拉贝莱，不幸的是，市场和货币交易仍然由西方主导，需求总是胜过常识。俄罗斯并不担心，其他国家如中国多年来都存在与美元相比贬值的货币。一切都会顺利解决的。
currency markets are volatile and move fast. while the us dollar still enjoys leadership role, the strength is basically underpinned by depth and demand for dollars in all international trade. as that diminishes, there is problem of who will buy up all us treasuries to keep the deficit spending going? not china, not saudis, and uk and eu will soon be broke. so costs ( interest rates will rise ) to attract buyers, and so cost of financing the 32 trillion on books. higher rates will end with more business going bad and put banks balance sheets in jeopardy again ( after the us fed extended loans and swaps to keep system stable ) in short run they all fluctuate, but fiat currency eventually returns to it's intrinsic value.
货币市场波动剧烈且迅速。虽然美元仍然享有领导地位，但其实力主要依赖于国际贸易中对美元的广泛需求和深度。随着这种需求减少，问题就出现了：谁将购买所有的美国国债来维持赤字支出的持续？不是中国，也不是沙特阿拉伯，英国和欧盟很快会破产。因此，为了吸引买家，成本（利率）将上升，从而增加了融资规模达32万亿美元的支出成本。较高的利率将导致更多企业陷入困境，并再次使银行的资产负债表面临风险（在美联储扩大贷款和交换以保持系统稳定后）。短期内它们都会波动，但法定货币最终会回归其内在价值。